Alira Health

Four Capabilities Redefining Competitive Advantage in Biologics CDMOs in 2026

The global biologics and advanced therapies market grew 9% year-over-year to $515 billion in 2025, extending a decade of sustained expansion. However, this growth is now unfolding within a volatile operating environment. Geopolitical fragmentation, shifting trade policies, tighter capital markets, and persistent supply chain bottlenecks are becoming structural constraints on how biologics manufacturing capacity is built, accessed, and deployed.

These pressures are forcing a structural shift in how the biologics CDMO sector operates. The expansion-led model of the past decade was characterized by large-scale capacity buildout and capital availability. However, this model is now giving way to a more constrained environment where competitive advantage depends on the ability to execute reliably. This shift requires biologics CDMO leaders to continuously reassess strategic decisions in response to shifting geopolitical conditions, growing need for specialized capabilities, and tighter capital constraints.

This article examines four strategic capabilities that are redefining competitive advantage in the biologics CDMO sector and are required to deliver reliable execution in an increasingly constrained and performance-driven environment:

  1. Dedicated manufacturing capacity models for critical products
  2. Geopolitically resilient manufacturing network design
  3. AI-enabled operational performance capabilities
  4. Disciplined, demand-linked capital deployment

1. Dedicated Manufacturing Capacity Models

Access to constrained manufacturing capacity is becoming a strategic differentiator, particularly in sterile drug-product manufacturing. As a result, capital is increasingly concentrated in these segments, with investment focused on debottlenecking to add effective rather than installed capacity and on securing dedicated access.

The Novo Holdings–Catalent transaction illustrates this structural shift in the biologics CDMO industry. This transaction showed how large biopharma is moving from reliance on shared CDMO capacity to securing dedicated, sponsor-controlled manufacturing infrastructure for critical products, reshaping how capacity is accessed and valued across the CDMO market. A central component of the transaction was the transfer of three sterile fill-finish facilities in Anagni (Italy), Brussels (Belgium), and Bloomington, Indiana (US) to Novo Nordisk.

These sites support large-scale injectable biologics, and their transfer reflects the growing strategic importance of securing dedicated sterile capacity for high-volume therapies, particularly GLP-1 treatments, where supply continuity directly influences commercial performance.

2. Geopolitically Resilient Network Design

Manufacturing geography is becoming a primary constraint in CDMO selection as sponsors incorporate geopolitical and trade policy considerations into commercial supply planning. US policy developments, including measures associated with the BIOSECURE framework, increase scrutiny of cross-border manufacturing linkages and reinforce the importance of regulatory alignment and long-term supply security.

As a result, North American and European manufacturing infrastructure is gaining strategic importance, particularly for late-stage and commercial biologics requiring a stable and jurisdictionally aligned supply. For example, the geographic distribution of biologics CDMO investments by country in 2025 reveals a striking concentration in the US, which captured $4,257 million in disclosed investment value. This represents approximately 77% of the total investment value.

This dynamic is reflected in the 2025 European Medicines Agency approval for commercial manufacturing at WuXi Biologics’ Dundalk, Ireland facility. The approval enabled an EU-based supply for globally developed assets and reduced reliance on non-aligned supply chains.

Sponsors continue to utilize Asian manufacturing capacity but are increasingly adopting geographically diversified sourcing strategies to reduce regional dependency and strengthen supply resilience.

2025 investments value ($M) by country

biologics public market update investments value by country

Note: The data presented reflect only disclosed values and may not fully represent the overall scope, as certain elements may be undisclosed or not captured in the available information.

Source: Chapter “Investment Activity in Biologics CDMOs” from the 2026 Biologics CDMO Public Market Update.

3. AI-Enabled Operational Performance

Competitive differentiation among biologics CDMOs is increasingly driven by operational performance rather than footprint expansion. Operational performance is primarily driven by throughput, batch consistency, and asset utilization, particularly in constrained segments such as sterile fill-finish and advanced therapy manufacturing.

Digital infrastructure, including manufacturing execution systems, integrated quality platforms, and digital batch records, is deeply embedded in routine good manufacturing practice operations, enabling earlier deviation detection and more consistent execution. CDMOs deploy AI applications within these established data environments to support predictive maintenance, process monitoring, and trend analysis, contributing to incremental but meaningful improvements in reliability and operational efficiency.

This approach is evident across major CDMOs such as Lonza, Samsung Biologics, Thermo Fisher Scientific, and Fujifilm Diosynth, where leaders are scaling digital manufacturing and AI analytics capabilities to strengthen execution, inspection readiness, and multi-program manufacturing stability.

Operational performance is becoming the primary basis of differentiation, with digital and AI capabilities determining how effectively CDMOs can scale and reliably execute across programs.

4. Disciplined, Demand-Linked Capital Deployment

Capital allocation is becoming another defining factor in how biologics CDMOs compete. Financing conditions are increasingly shaping investment pacing and prioritization across the sector. Higher interest rates and a more selective funding environment, relative to the expansion cycle earlier in the decade, are driving a more disciplined approach to capital deployment.

Many providers are opting to debottleneck existing facilities, add incremental bioreactor or fill–finish capacity, and upgrade technology platforms to enhance flexibility and throughput. Investment decisions are increasingly tied to identifiable customer programs or platform demand, reflecting a move away from capacity built on projected modality growth and toward expansion aligned with contracted or highly visible pipelines.

Capital deployment is becoming more closely linked to demand visibility and return discipline, reinforcing a more capital-efficient growth model and reshaping how CDMOs prioritize investment and expansion.

Conclusion

The biologics CDMO sector now operates under a more constrained and performance-driven set of competitive conditions. Competitive advantage depends on eliminating bottlenecks, building resilient manufacturing networks, and executing reliably across increasingly complex programs.

Capacity alone is no longer sufficient. Instead, differentiation depends on the ability to allocate capacity across sites and modalities, deliver integrated global supply with built-in redundancy, and maintain consistent execution at scale. Multi-site comparability, tech transfer excellence, and operational consistency are critical enablers of this model.

From an investment perspective, growth is increasingly constrained by capital availability and demand visibility. This requires tighter linkage between investment decisions and contracted or highly visible pipeline demand, with greater scrutiny on utilization, return on investment, and time to deployment.

Competitive advantage is increasingly determined by how effectively CDMOs secure dedicated capacity, design resilient manufacturing networks, deliver AI-enabled operational performance, and deploy capital with discipline.

CDMO executives must make explicit decisions on where to deploy capital, which capabilities to scale, and how to structure manufacturing networks to balance efficiency with resilience. Those that align capacity access, network design, operational performance, and capital discipline will be better positioned to compete in an increasingly constrained and risk-sensitive biologics market.

How Alira Health Supports Strategy and Investment Decisions in the Biologics CDMO Sector

At Alira Health, we support CDMOs, biopharma sponsors, and investors in navigating the evolving biologics manufacturing landscape, where competitive advantage increasingly depends on execution, network resilience, and disciplined capital deployment.

We advise on strategic decisions across key areas including manufacturing capacity strategy, network design under geopolitical constraints, operational performance optimization, and capital allocation. From CDMO selection and portfolio strategy to commercial due diligence and execution support, we help clients align capabilities with demand and reduce operational and investment risk.

Our approach combines market insight, technical expertise, and transaction experience to support informed, high-impact decisions across the biologics CDMO value chain.

Discover how we help stakeholders navigate the biologics CDMO market with confidence.

Expert insights from Alira Health Transaction Advisory team

Filippo Pendin

Filippo Pendin,
Partner

Mololuwa Oluwajobi,
Senior Associate

Leonardo Boi,
Associate Consultant

Expert insights from Alira Health Transaction Advisory team

Filippo Pendin

Filippo Pendin,
Partner

Mololuwa Oluwajobi,
Senior Associate

Leonardo Boi,
Associate Consultant

Welcome to Alira Health. This site is best viewed in Chrome, Microsoft Edge, or Firefox.